Market briefing
Locale Lab Atlas · August 18, 2026
Portfolio · en-US · profile · SAAS
Decision requested
Approve $10,350 and one quarter for a Chinese launch (UI at publication quality depth).
Recommendation: launch Chinese next, anchored on China.
Localizing into Chinese adds roughly 1.3B speakers the current portfolio does not reach (16.5% of world population) at medium engineering effort. Composite score 95/100 under the SAAS weighting, 23 points clear of the runner-up (Hindi).
Chinese ranks #1 under all 4 weighting profiles.
Net-new reach
1.3B
speakers not covered today · ~1.2B online · 16.5% of world population · score 100/100
Anchor market
China
pop. 1.4B · ~1.3B online · $13,862/capita · GDP score 100/100
Execution
Medium effort
new script (CJK) · LTR · 1 plural category · webfont · ease score 78/100
What shipping Chinese takes · day one
- Writing systemCJK (new to the portfolio)
- Layout directionLeft-to-right, no mirroring
- Plural arms per counted string1
- Custom webfontRequired, budget subsetting
Risks & watchouts
- New writing system (CJK): font stack, vertical metrics, and truncation rules have no coverage today.
- Needs a bundled webfont: adds load-time weight in exactly the markets where connectivity is weakest. Subset aggressively.
Proposed sequence
Now · Q4 2026
Chinese
China · score 95/100 · 1.3B net-new speakers at this step
Next · Q1 2027
Hindi
India · score 71/100 · 581.4M net-new speakers at this step
Later · Q2 2027
Portuguese
Brazil · score 64/100 · 247.1M net-new speakers at this step
Step counts assume the earlier steps have shipped, so the three numbers can be summed. Overlapping languages are not double-counted.
Alternatives considered
- Hindi (India): 71 vs 95. LTR layout · Needs custom webfont
- Portuguese (Brazil): 64 vs 95. Script already supported · LTR layout
What this model does not include
Revenue or ARPU by market, English-proficiency substitution (high-proficiency markets tolerate an English product longer), competitor coverage, regulatory requirements, and content depth beyond UI strings. Scores order candidates. They are not forecasts. Bring your own revenue data to fill that gap, or load per-market usage under Atlas → Your Data to add a demand signal.
Appendix · cost estimate
EstimateDepth: UI at publication quality · Ships UI strings edited to publication quality with one LQA round. Docs and support stay in the source language.
| Locale | Rate | Translation | LQA | Total | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chinese zh-CN · recommended | $0.08/word | $1,920 | $384 | $2,650 | 5.7 |
| Hindi hi-IN | $0.08/word | $1,600 | $320 | $2,208 | 5.7 |
| Portuguese pt-BR | $0.08/word | $1,600 | $320 | $2,208 | 5.7 |
| All 3 markets | $5,120 | $1,024 | $7,066 | 5.7 |
One-time engineering setup · Chinese
| i18n framework | $6,000 | Externalize strings, wire ICU, add a pseudoloc CI gate, TMS hookup. |
| Webfonts (1 script) | $1,200 | Subset + glyph QA for: CJK. |
| Per-locale integration (1) | $500 | Locale file wiring and an in-context sign-off pass per locale. |
| Setup total | $7,700 | Planning figures. Capabilities the portfolio already ships are not re-charged. |
The budget ask quotes the Chinese row plus the one-time setup ($10,350 together). The totals row prices all 3 markets of the proposed sequence, translation only, worked in parallel.
Ongoing upkeep (assumption): ~$1,060/year per market. Assumes 40% of the source words are retranslated each year at the same depth rates, LQA rounds, and PM overhead. Replace the churn rate with your own.
- Per-word rates and throughput are industry-typical 2025 defaults, not a vendor quote.
- The estimate prices each locale with a per-language-pair rate index (Japanese, Nordic, and RTL pairs run above a mainstream pair), so per-locale figures differ. The index is a planning figure without a sourced rate behind it.
- The model assumes no translation-memory leverage: a first launch has no memory, so it prices every word as new. A mature product with a large TM pays for fewer new words.
- Engineering setup (RTL enablement, webfonts, i18n framework) is a separate one-time cost (see the budget estimator). It is not in this per-word figure.
- This depth prices ui at "MT + full post-edit" with 1 LQA round and 15% PM overhead.
Appendix · sources
- CLDR territory & language data · Unicode Consortium · cldr-json main branch (latest published CLDR).
- Internet users (% of population) · World Bank Open Data · Most recent reported year per country (varies by country, year stored per record).
- Translation per-word rates & throughput · Curated (industry-typical defaults) · 2025 defaults, every figure editable in the UI.
- Can't Read, Won't Buy (consumer survey) · CSA Research · 2020 survey of 8,709 consumers across 29 countries.
Full methodology: locale-lab · /atlas/methodology
Methodology. Composite = 35% incremental reach (net-new speakers under a capped-share overlap model, 200M ≈ 100) + 40% market GDP (normalized to the top market) + 25% engineering ease (script overlap, direction, plural complexity, font need). Data: Unicode CLDR territoryInfo (population, GDP, language shares, L1+L2, so totals double-count multilinguals) joined with World Bank Open Data (internet penetration, GDP per capita). The online-reach figure assumes language share is uniform across a country's online population. Markets with no internet data count as zero online.